De Stemming van 1 december |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deze week laat
de meeste "beweging" zien bij de VVD. Niet alleen stijgt deze
partij 2 zetels, maar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ook zien we
dat het vertrouwen in Zalm duidelijk stijgt. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De LPF, Groen
Links, ChristenUnie dalen ieder 1 zetel. Daarmee wordt Groen Links de enige
linkse partij |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
die amper wint. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Peiling politieke
voorkeur |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Verk. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
in zetels Tweede Kamer |
TK 2003 |
7/4 |
24/11 |
1/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDA |
44 |
38 |
34 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PvdA |
42 |
34 |
49 |
50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
VVD |
28 |
30 |
26 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LPF |
8 |
8 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groen Links |
8 |
12 |
10 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SP |
9 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
D66 |
6 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ChristenUnie |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SGP |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Totaal |
150 |
150 |
150 |
150 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Electorale
potentie van de partijen |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De versterkte
positie van de VVD is ook duidelijk herkenbaar in de antwoorden welke |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
partijen men
een kans geeft. Tot vorige week scoorde VVD onder de 30% (vrijwel gelijk |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
aan de SP).
Deze week scoort de VVD 35%. Met name onder CDA-kiezers is de kracht |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
van de VVD toegenomen. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Partijen die kans maken op een
stem |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allen |
kiezer CDA*) |
kiezer PvdA |
kiezer VVD |
in procenten van: |
9/9 |
20/1 |
3/3 |
1/12 |
9/9 |
20/1 |
3/3 |
1/12 |
9/9 |
20/1 |
3/3 |
1/12 |
9/9 |
20/1 |
3/3 |
1/12 |
CDA |
46% |
36% |
34% |
28% |
91% |
79% |
88% |
72% |
9% |
5% |
3% |
1% |
46% |
32% |
29% |
22% |
PvdA |
30% |
36% |
36% |
38% |
17% |
26% |
6% |
21% |
93% |
95% |
93% |
93% |
9% |
15% |
8% |
4% |
VVD |
41% |
35% |
39% |
35% |
47% |
38% |
56% |
51% |
9% |
3% |
5% |
5% |
93% |
87% |
97% |
83% |
LPF |
15% |
16% |
16% |
13% |
11% |
7% |
18% |
17% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
19% |
13% |
26% |
20% |
GrLinks |
28% |
18% |
21% |
23% |
12% |
9% |
0% |
10% |
55% |
32% |
41% |
40% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
4% |
D66 |
22% |
17% |
20% |
17% |
11% |
13% |
13% |
12% |
39% |
20% |
27% |
20% |
16% |
15% |
15% |
17% |
SP |
20% |
23% |
22% |
26% |
11% |
14% |
4% |
12% |
42% |
32% |
38% |
48% |
4% |
6% |
4% |
5% |
ChristenUnie |
7% |
5% |
5% |
8% |
11% |
7% |
8% |
14% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
SGP |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
*)
heeft CDA gestemd bij vorige verkiezingen |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vertrouwen in politiek
en politici |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Het vetrouwen
in de politiek en de politici veranderde deze week weinig. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We zien een
lichte neiging tot stijging. Zo staat Ditrich nu ook weer op 5.0. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vertrouwen in de politiek |
|
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allen |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21/10 |
4,8 |
5,2 |
4,9 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28/10 |
4,6 |
5,1 |
4,7 |
4,1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11/11 |
5,0 |
5,5 |
5,1 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25/11 |
4,8 |
5,4 |
5,0 |
4,4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30/12 |
4,8 |
5,5 |
4,9 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
06/1 |
5,1 |
5,9 |
4,8 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20/1 |
5,5 |
5,9 |
5,5 |
5,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10/2 |
5,8 |
6,4 |
6,0 |
5,4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24/2 |
5,5 |
6,1 |
5,8 |
5,3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7/4 |
5,0 |
5,9 |
5,0 |
4,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14/4 |
4,3 |
5,0 |
3,9 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9/6 |
4,6 |
5,5 |
3,7 |
5,4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/9 |
4,3 |
5,7 |
3,0 |
5,0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15/9 |
4,2 |
5,3 |
3,3 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13/10 |
4,0 |
5,2 |
2,9 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20/10 |
4,3 |
5,9 |
3,1 |
5,3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/12 |
4,3 |
5,8 |
3,2 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allen |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Verhaagen 9/6 |
4,2 |
5,2 |
3,4 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Verhaagen 29/9 |
4,0 |
5,4 |
2,8 |
4,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Verhaagen 1/12 |
4,1 |
5,5 |
2,9 |
4,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bos 21/10 |
5,7 |
5,6 |
7,4 |
5,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bos 20/1 |
5,9 |
5,7 |
8,0 |
5,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bos 21/4 |
4,9 |
3,6 |
7,0 |
3,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bos 1/12 |
5,1 |
4,1 |
7,1 |
4,0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Van
Aartsen 9/6 |
4,9 |
5,4 |
4,5 |
5,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Van
Aartsen 29/9 |
4,4 |
5,1 |
3,7 |
5,4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Van Aartsen 1/12 |
4,6 |
5,2 |
3,9 |
5,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marijnissen 07/10 |
6,8 |
6,6 |
7,3 |
6,3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marijnissen 20/1 |
5,6 |
5,4 |
6,5 |
4,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marijnissen 21/4 |
5,2 |
4,1 |
6,4 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marijnissen 1/12 |
5,3 |
4,8 |
6,5 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Halsema 21/11 |
5,1 |
4,8 |
5,9 |
4,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Halsema 20/1 |
5,1 |
5,0 |
6,0 |
4,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Halsema 21/4 |
4,8 |
3,9 |
5,9 |
3,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vos 1/12 |
4,4 |
4,3 |
4,8 |
4,1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herben 21/10 |
4,1 |
4,5 |
2,9 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herben 20/1 |
4,5 |
4,7 |
3,1 |
4,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herben 21/4 |
4,0 |
4,7 |
2,7 |
5,0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herben 1/12 |
4,0 |
4,6 |
3,2 |
4,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ditrich 21/4 |
4,9 |
4,3 |
5,4 |
4,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ditrich 29/9 |
4,6 |
5,2 |
4,1 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ditrich 1/12 |
5,0 |
5,1 |
5,0 |
5,3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De
verschillende regeringscombinaties scoren over de gehele linie laag. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De huidige
combinatie staat met 24% nog het hoogst. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gewenste regering |
Allen |
Allen |
Allen |
Allen |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27/1 |
14/4 |
2/6 |
1/12 |
1/12 |
1/12 |
1/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDA+PvdA |
48% |
28% |
29% |
21% |
21% |
34% |
2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDA+VVD+LPF |
20% |
28% |
16% |
14% |
20% |
0% |
27% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDA+VVD+D66 |
25% |
17% |
27% |
24% |
41% |
2% |
49% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDA +VVD+CU+SGP |
|
|
4% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PvdA+VVD |
4% |
18% |
15% |
20% |
3% |
48% |
12% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
geen
voorkeur |
3% |
9% |
9% |
17% |
10% |
15% |
9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Het
vertrouwen in de regering doet het nog steeds niet goed. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vertrouwen
|
|
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
in de regering |
Allen |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
D66 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9/6 |
4,5 |
5,9 |
3,0 |
5,8 |
5,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16/6 |
4,8 |
6,5 |
3,1 |
6,0 |
5,0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18/8 |
4,5 |
6,1 |
2,9 |
5,4 |
4,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15/9 |
4,0 |
5,6 |
2,5 |
5,1 |
3,9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13/10 |
3,8 |
5,6 |
2,3 |
5,0 |
3,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20/10 |
4,3 |
6,1 |
2,5 |
5,5 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/12 |
4,2 |
6,1 |
2,5 |
5,1 |
3,7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hier zien we
de grootste stijgingen. Met name Zalm is bezig aan een spurt naar boven. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In twee weken
is er sprake van een stijging van 0.6. Ook Balkenende en De Graaf zijn weer
aan het stijgen. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allen |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balkenende 07/10 |
6,2 |
7,3 |
4,8 |
6,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balkenende 9/6 |
4,7 |
6,4 |
3,3 |
5,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balkenende 29/9 |
4,1 |
6,2 |
2,5 |
5,1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balkenende 1/12 |
4,5 |
6,6 |
2,7 |
5,1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zalm 07/10 |
6,6 |
6,8 |
6,2 |
7,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zalm 20/1 |
5,5 |
6,1 |
4,2 |
7,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zalm 29/9 |
4,3 |
5,5 |
2,8 |
6,1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zalm 1/12 |
5,1 |
6,3 |
3,7 |
6,6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De
Graaf 07/10 |
5,9 |
5,8 |
6,7 |
5,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De
Graaf 30/12 |
5,3 |
4,9 |
6,1 |
5,5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De
Graaf 29/9 |
4,5 |
5,0 |
3,8 |
5,2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
De Graaf 1/12 |
4,9 |
5,4 |
4,4 |
5,4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Met 48% dat
denkt dat de regering de rit uitzit is er ook wat dit punt betreft een
stijging |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
waarneembaar.
Twee maanden geleden was dat nog 39%. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Verwachte levensduur |
Allen |
Allen |
Allen |
kiezer |
kiezer |
kiezer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
huidig kabinet |
2/6 |
13/10 |
1/12 |
CDA |
PvdA |
VVD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
maken de vier jaar vol |
47% |
39% |
48% |
74% |
21% |
56% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
valen in 2006 |
4% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
vallen in 2005 |
13% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
12% |
8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
vallen in de 2e helft 2004 |
15% |
19% |
23% |
7% |
39% |
19% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
vallen in de1e helft 2004 |
15% |
16% |
11% |
2% |
19% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ze
vallen nog dit jaar |
6% |
5% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weet
niet/geen antwoord |
6% |
8% |
6% |
7% |
6% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|