De Stemming van 16 september 2002 |
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De
afgelopen weken is de politieke voorkeur weinig verschoven. |
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De LPF blijft
op groot verlies staan. |
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Peiling
politieke voorkeur 16 september 2002 |
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Verk. |
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in zetels Tweede Kamer |
TK 2002 |
16/9/02 |
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CDA |
43 |
47 |
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LPF |
26 |
13 |
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VVD |
24 |
25 |
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PvdA |
23 |
27 |
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Groen Links |
10 |
12 |
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SP |
9 |
11 |
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D66 |
7 |
7 |
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ChristenUnie |
4 |
5 |
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SGP |
2 |
2 |
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LN |
2 |
1 |
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Totaal |
150 |
150 |
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Vertrouwen in
het kabinet Balkenende |
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Het vertrouwen
in het kabinet blijft zeer laag. |
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Dat is zeer
opmerkelijk voor een kabinet dat net begint. |
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Het kabinet
lijkt alleen van de LPF kiezers te zijn. |
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rapportcijfers |
|
Stemgedrag TK 2002 |
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10 is zeer goed, 1 is
zeer slecht |
Allen |
CDA |
LPF |
VVD |
PvdA |
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16 september 2002 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
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Vertrouwen in de
Minister President |
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Het vertrouwen
in de Minister President is duidelijk hoger dan voor het kabinet |
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in 't geheel.
Er lijkt een licht dalende trend te zijn. |
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rapportcijfers |
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Stemgedrag TK 2002 |
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10 is zeer goed, 1 is
zeer slecht |
Allen |
CDA |
LPF |
VVD |
PvdA |
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16 september 2002 |
6.4 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
4.9 |
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Oordeel over
afzonderlijke ministers |
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Op
de vraag welke ministers men het goed vindt doen en welke slecht komen |
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zeer
uitgesproken antwoorden, waarbij de verschillen tussen de kiezers van de |
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verschillende
partijen zeer groot is. Met name betreft dat de LPF ministers. |
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Ministers uit
het kabinet Balkenende die het goed doen |
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16/9/02 |
|
Stemgedrag TK 2002 |
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in procenten van |
Allen |
CDA |
LPF |
VVD |
PvdA |
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Jan
Peter Balkenende |
62 |
86 |
67 |
63 |
33 |
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Herman
Heinsbroek |
28 |
25 |
62 |
34 |
10 |
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Hilbrand
Nawijn |
26 |
19 |
63 |
32 |
6 |
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Jaap de
Hoop Scheffer |
24 |
33 |
21 |
27 |
11 |
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Niemand |
22 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
49 |
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Ministers uit
het kabinet Balkenende die het slecht doen |
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16/9/02 |
|
Stemgedrag TK 2002 |
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in procenten van |
Allen |
CDA |
LPF |
VVD |
PvdA |
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Hilbrand
Nawijn |
42 |
36 |
5 |
34 |
72 |
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Herman
Heinsbroek |
49 |
45 |
10 |
36 |
70 |
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Eduard
Bomhoff |
22 |
14 |
7 |
23 |
43 |
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Niemand |
25 |
29 |
48 |
29 |
11 |
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Voor de ministers Nawijn
en Heinsbroek zien we snelle veranderingen in het
oordeel |
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Terwijl Nawijn het bij
alle kiezers slechter doet, is het oordeel onder
de LPF kiezers steeds |
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positiever.
In de onderstaande grafiek is het oordeel van de
LPF en PvdA kiezers |
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tegen elkaar afgezet. |
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Bij Heinsbroek
zien we een vergelijkbaar patroon als bij Nawijn. |
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Zijn positie
is de afgelopen week duidelijk slechter geworden. |
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In twee weken
is het aandeel kiezers dat hem een slechte minister vindt |
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met 20%
gestegen. PvdA kiezers zien hem absoluut niet zitten. |
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Verwachte
levensduur van het kabinet |
|
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2/9 |
9/9 |
16/9 |
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Ze
blijven 4 jaar zitten |
24 |
21 |
20 |
|
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|
Ze vallen in 2005 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
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….. in 2004 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
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…. de 2e helft van
2003 |
24 |
27 |
24 |
|
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|
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|
…. de 1e helft van
2003 |
35 |
36 |
39 |
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|
…. de 2e helft van 2002 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
|
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|
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|
|
|
Totaal |
100 |
100 |
100 |
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